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Analyses |
| Maria Domańska, Piotr Żochowski, Witold Rodkiewicz
On 1 August, Ankara witnessed the largest prisoner exchange between the US and Russia since the Cold War. The exchange also involved Belarus, Germany, Poland, Norway, and Slovenia.
Analyses |
| Bartosz Chmielewski
On 23 July, the Estonian parliament granted a vote of confidence to the cabinet led by Kristen Michal of the Reform Party. The new government was formed after former Prime Minister Kaja Kallas was nominated as the EU High Representative…
OSW Commentary |
| Bartosz Chmielewski
Due to its negative natural increase and emigration, Latvia is one of the fastest depopulating countries in the world, losing 18,000–20,000 inhabitants annually – the equivalent of a medium-sized Latvian town. Although the country’s…
Analyses |
| Jacek Tarociński
On 21 June, the Norwegian parliament adopted an amendment to the 2024 budget law, which increases defence funding from 91 to 104 billion Norwegian kroner (€9.14 billion). This will enable Norway to reach its defence spending target of 2%…
Analyses |
| Piotr Szymański, Filip Rudnik
On 16 June, Denmark’s foreign minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen announced that Copenhagen had assembled a coalition of countries to evaluate the possibility of introducing new restrictions against the ‘shadow fleet’ in the Baltic Sea. These…
OSW Commentary |
| Jakub Graca, Justyna Gotkowska
NATO is in the process of adjusting its nuclear deterrence in response to the modernisation of Russia’s nuclear capabilities, the deployment of Russian tactical nuclear weapons near NATO’s borders, and the Kremlin’s increasingly aggressive…
Analyses |
| Joanna Hyndle-Hussein
Gitanas Nausėda won the second round of Lithuania’s presidential election with 74.43% of the vote. This is the highest support a candidate for the office has won since the country restored its independence in 1990. 49.15% of eligible…
Analyses |
| Joanna Hyndle-Hussein
On 2 May, Lithuania held the first round of the presidential election, in which none of the eight candidates obtained more than 50% of the vote. The run-off on 26 May will be between the incumbent Gitanas Nausėda, who won 44.10% of the…
Analyses |
| Piotr Szymański, Jacek Tarociński
On 30 April, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s government (a coalition of the Social Democrats, the liberal Venstre party and the Moderates) and the majority of the opposition reached a landmark cross-party defence agreement to raise…
OSW Commentary |
| Bartosz Chmielewski, Jacek Tarociński
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 reinforced the sense of threat from Russia in the Baltic states, and spurred them to speed up the implementation of their national defence policies. Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia…