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Analyses | | Maria Domańska
On 23 August, shortly after 6pm Moscow time, an Embraer Legacy 600 aircraft owned by Yevgeny Prigozhin’s company, which had been flying from Moscow to St Petersburg, crashed in Tver oblast. According to the Federal Air Transport Agency (…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński
Macroeconomic data for the first six months of 2023 confirm Belarus’s steadily increasing dependence on Russia. In the second year of the war, Minsk is paying a high price for its complicity in Russia’s aggression, the regime’s acts of…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 21 July 2023, a meeting of the Security Council of the Russian Federation was held. One part of this meeting was publicised for propaganda purposes. Citing information obtained from “several intelligence sources”, director of the…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
The analysis of incomplete information suggests that nine vehicle columns with Wagner mercenaries arrived in Belarus between 11 and 19 July. The Belarusian border service did not carry out passport control or inspect the transported cargo…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 25 May, the heads of the Russian and Belarusian defence ministries, Sergei Shoigu and Viktar Khrenin, signed an agreement regulating the stationing of Russian tactical nuclear weapons (TNWs) on the territory of Belarus. This is a…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński
On 13 May the Belarusian Ministry of Energy announced that the second unit of the Belarusian Nuclear Power Plant (BNPP) had been connected to the Belarusian electricity grid. It uses a VVER type reactor manufactured by Rosatom. The power…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski
As the Belarusian regime has intensified its policy of repression against society since August 2020, its other domestic policy priorities have come to include an overhaul of the education system and stricter supervision over Belarusian…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński
The stability of the Belarusian economy has come under threat from the new Western sanctions, imposed on the country in 2022 for its complicity in the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the loss of the Ukrainian market. According to the most…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński
The founding congress of the Belaya Rus political party was held in Minsk on 18 March. It is based on the pro-regime social organisation of the same name, which has been active since 2007. More than 1000 delegates adopted its party…
Point of View | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski
The marginalisation of the civilian segment of the state apparatus at all levels of government which has been ongoing since 2020 is to the advantage of the state security sector which at present forms the main internal pillar of Lukashenka…