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Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
In mid-January, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (RF)’s extremely intensive training activity, which has been observed for several weeks, was expanded to include new elements. Preparations have begun for a series of extraordinary…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
On 20 January, Alyaksandr Lukashenka issued a decree scheduling a constitutional referendum to be held on 27 February. The vote will concern a document attached to a decree containing changes to dozens of articles of the present…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
On 6 January 2022, during a meeting to discuss historical policy, Alyaksandr Lukashenka stressed that the “correct interpretation of history” is of key importance to the state’s security. He ordered historians to review the descriptions of…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
On 2 December, the Council of the European Union announced the decision to adopt another package – the fifth in succession – of sanctions against Belarus to be introduced since the rigged presidential elections on 9 August 2020. The EU’s…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
Since the beginning of the rise in tension on the Polish-Belarusian border and the escalation of the migration crisis, Moscow has taken a position that unequivocally justifies the actions taken by Alyaksandr Lukashenka’s regime. On 1…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
During the first three quarters of this year, Belarus recorded a GDP growth of 2.7% – this is more than the spring forecasts presented by the government and international financial institutions. The economy achieved this positive result in…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski
On 4 November 2021, a meeting of the Supreme State Council of the Union State of Russia and Belarus, attended by the two countries’ presidents, prime ministers and speakers of parliaments, was held in the form of a video conference. During…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
Despite worsening weather conditions the regime in Belarus continues to gather migrants on its territory. After Iraq suspended direct flights to Belarus in August the migration routes have changed. There are regular flight connections from…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
The presidents of Russia and Belarus, Vladimir Putin and Alyaksandr Lukashenka met for the fifth time this year in Moscow on 9 September. They discussed the implementation of the schedule for the integration of Belarus and Russia as part…
OSW Commentary |
| Piotr Żochowski
The political crisis which has been raging in Belarus since August 2020 and the growing public discontent with the regime have become the greatest challenge to the current government in recent history. Lukashenka has not considered the…