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Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 25 May, the heads of the Russian and Belarusian defence ministries, Sergei Shoigu and Viktar Khrenin, signed an agreement regulating the stationing of Russian tactical nuclear weapons (TNWs) on the territory of Belarus. This is a…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jakub Ber
On the morning of 6 June, Kyiv reported that Russian troops had blown up the dam at Nova Kakhovka. The road crossing over the River Dnieper and part of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant were destroyed, leading to an uncontrolled…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
Russian volunteer formations fighting on the side of Ukraine are continuing a psychological sabotage operation to confirm that resistance to the regime is growing in Russia. On 31 May, a spokesman for the Free Russia Legion reported that “…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On the night of 28 May, the Russians launched a massive attack on Kyiv (the largest to date, according to the Ukrainian government’s assessment) using Shahed-136/131 kamikaze drones. According to the Ukrainian General Staff, only one of…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
Ukrainian forces failed to break through the Russian defences north and southwest of Bakhmut, and after 22 May, when the command of the Eastern grouping declared that some slight advances in the field had still been made, they went on the…
Analyses |
| Jakub Ber, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński
On 20 May, Yevgeny Prigozhin announced that the Wagner Group he owns had seized all of Bakhmut, and said his mercenaries would hand over their positions to regular Russian army troops by 25 May. The Russian defence ministry confirmed the…
Analyses |
| Jakub Ber, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński
Ukrainian troops are continuing offensive operations west of Bakhmut. The fighting is mainly focused on the hills between Ivanivske and Klishchiivka; the Russians are slowly being pushed back toward the latter village, which they captured…
OSW Commentary |
| Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski
Education serves the regime The ideologisation and militarisation of the Belarusian education system
As the Belarusian regime has intensified its policy of repression against society since August 2020, its other domestic policy priorities have come to include an overhaul of the education system and stricter supervision over Belarusian…
Analyses |
| Jakub Ber, Jacek Tarociński, Piotr Żochowski
On 13 May, a Su-34 fighter-bomber aircraft, a Su-35 multi-role fighter and two Mi-8 helicopters (probably modified for radio-electronic warfare) were shot down near the towns of Klintsy and Starodub in the Bryansk oblast of the Russian…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 9 May, Ukrainian forces struck at the rotating enemy subunits south of the Bakhmut-Kostiantynivka road, which led to their withdrawal from the area around the village of Stupochky to the eastern side of the Donets-Donbas canal.