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Analyses | | Wojciech Konończuk

New hopes old risks the prospects for settling the conflict in Donbas

A working meeting was held on 2 September in Berlin as part of preparations so-called Normandy Format summit (leaders of Ukraine, Russia, Germany and France) for settling the conflict in Donbas. This will be the first such summit since…
Analyses | | Szymon Kardaś, Wojciech Konończuk

Dirty oil the greatest crisis in the history of the Druzhba pipeline

On 19 April, the Belarusian oil company Belneftekhim reported a significant deterioration in the quality of Russian oil transmitted to Belarus via the Druzhba pipeline. The level of organochlorine compounds was dozens of times over the…
Analyses | | Wojciech Konończuk

Difficult talks between Russia and Belarus

On 25 December the presidents of Russia and Belarus met at the Kremlin to resolve some areas of dispute, in particular the further integration of the two countries and the terms for supply of oil. The talks between Vladimir Putin and…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Wilk, Jan Strzelecki, Wojciech Konończuk

Consequences of the incident in the Sea of Azov

Before midnight on 25 November, President Petro Poroshenko issued a decree at the request of the National Security and Defence Council of Ukraine to introduce martial law for a period of 60 days, while announcing that a general…
Analyses | | Tadeusz Iwański, Jan Strzelecki, Wojciech Konończuk

Russias ploy with UN forces in the Donbas

At the BRICS summit in China Vladimir Putin announced that Russia would propose a draft resolution on the deployment of UN peacekeeping forces in Donbas.
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki, Wojciech Konończuk

Russia activates the talks on the Donbass

We may assume that the uptick in the dynamics of the talks is due to new Russian proposals, hitherto undiscussed in public.
Analyses | | Szymon Kardaś, Wojciech Konończuk

Minsk 2 - a fragile truce

The document will bring only a temporary halt to the ongoing conflict in the east of Ukraine.
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Wojciech Konończuk

Russia sabotages the Minsk agreement on the Donbas

Russia intends to move closer to achieving its key goal: to subjugate Ukraine.  
Analyses | | Wojciech Konończuk, Andrzej Wilk

Escalation of clashes in the Donbas

Moscow is threatening the resumption of war, in order to force unconditional consent to hold a new round of political talks.
Analyses | | Wojciech Konończuk, Szymon Kardaś, Agata Łoskot-Strachota

Success The RussiaUkraineEU gas agreement

We cannot rule out the possibility that the gas ‘ceasefire’ will be violated before the date specified in the protocol.