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OSW Report | | Jakub Ber, Tadeusz Iwański, Marcin Jędrysiak, Sławomir Matuszak, Krzysztof Nieczypor, Piotr Żochowski

Defence and determination. Ukraine during the third year of the Russian invasion

The full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine has continued for over 30 months, without a clear outcome in si
OSW Commentary | | Witold Rodkiewicz, Tadeusz Iwański

The long war Ukraine and Russia after the failure of the Ukrainian counteroffensive

No major success has been seen during the past five months of the Ukrainian counteroffensive. In an interview for the Economist on 1 November, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, the Ukrainian army’s commander-in-chief, described the situation on…
Analyses | | Katarzyna Chawryło, Tadeusz Iwański

No breakthrough at the Normandy Four summit in Paris

On 9 December, a meeting of the leaders of Ukraine, Russia, France and Germany was held in Paris under the so-called “Normandy Format” dedicated to resolving the conflict in eastern Ukraine. This was the first such meeting since 2016. The…
Analyses | | Tadeusz Iwański, Krzysztof Nieczypor

The Steinmeier formula in search of a compromise on the Donbas

On 1 October, the Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky announced that an agreement had been reached to implement the so-called Steinmeier formula as part of resolving the conflict in the Donbas as part of the meeting of the trilateral…
OSW Commentary | | Szymon Kardaś, Tadeusz Iwański

From vassalisation to emancipation Ukrainian-Russian gas co-operation has been revised

The awards by the Arbitral Tribunal have radically changed the model of Ukrainian-Russian gas relations.
Analyses | | Tadeusz Iwański, Jan Strzelecki, Wojciech Konończuk

Russias ploy with UN forces in the Donbas

At the BRICS summit in China Vladimir Putin announced that Russia would propose a draft resolution on the deployment of UN peacekeeping forces in Donbas.
Analyses | | Jan Strzelecki, Tadeusz Iwański

The Committee for Ukraines Salvation a pawn in Russias game

The pro-Russian committee has assembled in Moscow. It is composed of discredited politicians who have escaped from Ukraine.
Analyses | | Szymon Kardaś, Tadeusz Iwański

Gazproms tactical concessions to Ukraine

Moscow’s consent to extend the winter package represents a concession to Ukraine.
Analyses | | Katarzyna Chawryło, Piotr Żochowski, Tadeusz Iwański

The conflict in the Donbas after the shooting down of the Malaysian plane

The Malaysian aircraft tragedy is not likely to lead to the end of the armed conflict in the Donbas.
Analyses | | Tadeusz Iwański, Witold Rodkiewicz

A fragile truce in the Donbas

Although peaceful dialogue will continue, it must be doubtful that this will bring any lasting political settlement of the conflict.