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Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

The constitutional referendum in Armenia the institutionalisation of the oligarchy

Changing the constitution will preserve the oligarchic political system in Armenia.
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

The political crisis in Georgia

In the last days of October, government inspired and undertook a series of actions directed against Georgia’s largest opposition party.
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

North Caucasus between Russia an emirate and a caliphate

Recent events in the region indicate that the end of the Caucasus Emirate as an armed terrorist organisation and a political project is approaching.
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

Protests in Armenia as a manifestation of the states systemic crisis

Social protests in Yerevan which, despite the intentions of the demonstrators themselves, have become known as the ‘Armenian Maidan’.
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

Georgia President Margvelashvili is accumulating political capital

President is unexpectedly strengthening his position as an independent reviewer of the government.
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski, Piotr Żochowski

Russia Kadyrov is in conflict with the law enforcement agencies

The Kremlin is an arbiter in Kadyrov's dispute with the Russian law enforcement agencies and is thus facing a difficult dilemma.
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

Russia is absorbing South Ossetia

The treaty on alliance and integration, together with the state border agreement signed in February, has sanctioned the effective incorporation of South Ossetia.
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

The Nemtsov operation as a manifestation of the oprichnina today

Both the murder of Boris Nemtsov, as well as the propaganda surrounding it, seems to have been a coherent project.
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

The Islamic State in the Caucasus – who benefits

The Kremlin may create the impression that Russia is the West’s ally in the fight against the threat from the Islamic State.