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Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński

Limited EU economic sanctions on Belarus

On 23 March, the EU decided to extend its sanctions on Belarus. The list of 232 people banned from entering the EU was extended by a further 12 names, including two major Belarusian businessmen suspected of financially supporting the…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Rafał Sadowski

Belaruss diplomatic war with the European Union

By ratcheting up the tension with the EU, Minsk is hoping to reinforce the divisions between those member states which are primarily interested in developing economic cooperation with Belarus, and those that advocate taking a firm stance…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Belarus is trying to use the issue of political prisoners as a bargaining chip in its relations with the West

On 25 January at a press conference Iryna Khalip, the wife of one of Belarus's political prisoners, Andrei Sannikau, announced that already last November her husband, probably pressured by tortures and threats, asked President Alexander…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Lukashenka agrees to make crucial concessions to Russia

In the absence of prospects for economic recovery and a return to dialogue with the West, it will be extremely difficult for Lukashenka to inhibit the further expansion of Russian capital, which is tantamount to a significant reduction…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski

Lukashenka increases the role of the power ministries

In the past two months, the President of Belarus Alyaksandr Lukashenka has taken a number of steps to strengthen and modify the role of the power ministries in managing the state and enhancing the military factor in the functioning of…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński

Systemic crisis in Alexander Lukashenkos regime

The lack of freedom of manoeuvre in foreign policy, no possibility to maintain a costly economic model and the lack of support from the majority of society all prove that Alexander Lukashenko's regime is in severe crisis.
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Minsk boycotts the Eastern Partnership summit

Only the Belarusian opposition was present at the summit. The EU member states unanimously adopted a declaration in which they reiterated their conditions for returning to dialogue with Minsk. Meanwhile a draft EU aid package for Belarus…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

The Belarusian governments attempts to get out of the economic crisis

The Belarusian government is still not ready to undertake root-and-branch reform of the system, and is restricting itself to taking ad hoc measures. In addition, record inflation and a drop in real wages pose a risk of social discontent…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

The Belarusian government signals its readiness to talk with the West

Via the Bulgarian Foreign Ministry, the regime has spent the last few weeks probing the options for improving relations between Minsk and Brussels. Both the Belarusian opposition and the EU’s diplomats have made their positions dependent…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Social discontent rising in Belarus a threat to the regime

The Belarusian public’s growing dissatisfaction with the economic situation could lead to wider social protests this autumn. This may open up room for manoeuvre for the Belarusian nomenklatura and for external actors, mainly Russia.