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Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński, Wojciech Konończuk
The loan is to be made in several tranches over the next three years. As Belarus’s sole possible creditor at this time, Moscow has presented its action as economic support for the crisis-ridden Belarusian economy. However, in return for…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
Fearing a weakening of the system, President Alyaksandr Lukashenka continues his policy of repression, which is leading to international self-isolation of Belarus; however, in the coming months, the growing financial crisis may force Minsk…
OSW Commentary |
| Kamil Kłysiński
Belarus’s financial condition has visibly worsened since the beginning of this year. The severe falls in the country’s foreign currency reserves and its shortage of foreign currency on the international market pose an increasing threat to…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
By passing harsh sentences on opposition activists, President Alyaksandr Lukashenka has demonstrated his strength to the public and the nomenklatura, while at the same time sending a signal that the EU’s sanctions will not encourage Minsk…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
The repression employed against the opposition and independent media after the elections may significantly limit co-operation between the EU and Belarus, and thus weaken Minsk’s position in its dealings with Moscow.
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
Unlike the previous elections in 2006, during this year's presidential campaign the government of Belarus has clearly eased its policies towards the opposition, and created greater opportunities to conduct electoral canvassing. However,…
Analyses |
| Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Kamil Kłysiński, Iwona Wiśniewska
The chances of Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus creating a common market in the planned form and by the intended deadline are limited. Closer cooperation between those countries will be the result of a lengthy and difficult process.
OSW Commentary |
| Kamil Kłysiński, Wojciech Konończuk
The most serious crisis in the history of Russian-Belarusian relations has been taking place over the past few months. In 2007 Russia started the process of depriving Belarus of subsidies in the form of supplies of fuels at low prices,…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński, Wojciech Konończuk
A small gas debt that Belarus owes is a pretext for Russia to pursue its political and economic goals oriented towards both Minsk and the West.
OSW Studies |
| Kamil Kłysiński, Agata Wierzbowska-Miazga
In late 2006 and early 2007, relations between Russia and Belarus were hit by the most serious crisis in many years. In a setting of heightened tension, the Belarusian authorities decided to gradually modify their economic policy and…