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Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
According to anecdotal evidence, which cannot be confirmed, but also have not been officially denied, the President of Uzbekistan Islam Karimov, suffered a severe heart attack on 19 March. Although Karimov resumed his duties, his health…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
On 24 July, Tajik power structures began special operations in the Gorno – Badakhshan Autonomous Oblast (GBAO) directed against local criminal groups linked to former field commanders from the civil war period (1992-1997), some of which…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
On 20 June, Uzbekistan sent a note to the secretariat of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), informing them that it was suspending its membership of this body. This is the second time in the history of Uzbekistan’s…
Analyses |
| Józef Lang, Marek Matusiak, Krzysztof Strachota
In the next two years, the region’s role will grow significantly for the West; Central Asia is entering a period of crucial importance in connection with the mission in Afghanistan, but is also coming into a series of important…
Analyses |
| Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Marek Matusiak, Krzysztof Strachota
On 16 December in Zhanaozen (Mangystau region) riots broke out, and as a result of the pacification action at least ten people died. In the following days, demonstrations were also held at other places in the region.
Analyses |
| Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Marek Matusiak
Western Kazakhstan (735,000 km², population 1.66 million), which is over a thousand kilometres from the political centre of the country, is the region where the bulk of the oil and gas industry is concentrated – the industry which has been…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
But the results of the elections confirm that the political scene has been effectively atomised; this does not give hope for the creation of a stable government, which will be able to confront the deep internal crisis in which the state…
Analyses |
| Wojciech Górecki, Marek Matusiak
Russia’s probable intervention in Kyrgyzstan is likely to meet with the acceptance of world opinion. By stabilising the situation in that country, Moscow will pursue the expansion of its influence in Central Asia and the strengthening of…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
It is unlikely that the interim government in its current form will bring the country out of the crisis; indeed the scale and dynamic of the internal problems admit the possibility that Kyrgyzstan will turn into a failed state. The ongoing…