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Analyses |
| Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Marek Matusiak
On 22 May, at the third reading, the Georgian parliament passed an amendment to the constitution allowing EU citizens to stand in elections if they have lived in Georgia for at least five years. These amendments have been introduced for…
Analyses |
| Józef Lang, Marek Matusiak, Krzysztof Strachota
In the next two years, the region’s role will grow significantly for the West; Central Asia is entering a period of crucial importance in connection with the mission in Afghanistan, but is also coming into a series of important…
Analyses |
| Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Marek Matusiak, Krzysztof Strachota
On 16 December in Zhanaozen (Mangystau region) riots broke out, and as a result of the pacification action at least ten people died. In the following days, demonstrations were also held at other places in the region.
Analyses |
| Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Marek Matusiak
Western Kazakhstan (735,000 km², population 1.66 million), which is over a thousand kilometres from the political centre of the country, is the region where the bulk of the oil and gas industry is concentrated – the industry which has been…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
On 7 October, the Georgian billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili issued a statement in which he announced the creation of a new political party. Its goal is to win next year's parliamentary elections and remove the current ruling camp from power.
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
The scale of the protests in Tbilisi is limited and their impetus is failing, which shows that they will probably come to an end soon. However, structural, social and political problems which could drive protests in the future remain…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
These changes, in the direction of limiting presidential power and strengthening the powers of parliament and government, were proposed by the West, and have mostly encountered the approval of the Venice Commission (VC, an advisory body of…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
But the results of the elections confirm that the political scene has been effectively atomised; this does not give hope for the creation of a stable government, which will be able to confront the deep internal crisis in which the state…
Analyses |
| Wojciech Górecki, Marek Matusiak
Russia’s probable intervention in Kyrgyzstan is likely to meet with the acceptance of world opinion. By stabilising the situation in that country, Moscow will pursue the expansion of its influence in Central Asia and the strengthening of…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
It is unlikely that the interim government in its current form will bring the country out of the crisis; indeed the scale and dynamic of the internal problems admit the possibility that Kyrgyzstan will turn into a failed state. The ongoing…