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Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota
In recent weeks a series of incidents took place in the South Caucasus, which proves that this region is becoming the foreground of the intensifying conflict over Iran.
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota
On 15 January, early elections to the lower house of parliament in Kazakhstan were held. According to preliminary results (the final results will be announced by 22 January), on a turnout of around 75%, the ruling Nur Otan party won (with…
Analyses | | Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Marek Matusiak, Krzysztof Strachota
On 16 December in Zhanaozen (Mangystau region) riots broke out, and as a result of the pacification action at least ten people died. In the following days, demonstrations were also held at other places in the region.
OSW Commentary | | Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Krzysztof Strachota
The conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh poses the greatest challenge to the security and stability of the Southern Caucasus. Although a ceasefire has been in place and a peace process under way since 1994, there…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota
On 6-7 October the French president, Nicolas Sarkozy visited Yerevan, Baku and Tbilisi. During these visits he made a number of strong statements of a kind avoided by other EU leaders. The French president's visit is the first by a…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota
The army’s spectacular defeat in the fight with rebels in the Rasht Valley has laid bare the frailty of Tajikistan and the policy of its president; at the same time it has opened the country up to massive internal shocks. This poses a risk…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota
Tajikistan is currently witnessing small-scale armed clashes, bomb attacks and signs of political tensions. The continuation of these trends would mean the strengthening of a ‘zone of instability’ linking Afghanistan and Central Asia.
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota
The calm manner in which the constitutional referendum has been conducted and the adoption of a new constitution in Kyrgyzstan do not mean a stabilisation of the country; nor will divergent approaches of global powers contribute to it.
Point of View | | Maciej Falkowski, Krzysztof Strachota
The real threat posed by militant Islam seems to be rather limited, and its roots lie outside Central Asia. This region is unlikely to become a key front of global jihad. Nevertheless, this does not guarantee peace and safety in Central…
OSW Report | | Wojciech Bartuzi, Katarzyna Pełczyńska-Nałęcz, Krzysztof Strachota
The Southern Caucasus is the site of three armed conflicts with separatist backgrounds, which have remained unsolved for years: the conflicts in Georgia's Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and Azerbaijan's conflict…