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Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota
The army’s spectacular defeat in the fight with rebels in the Rasht Valley has laid bare the frailty of Tajikistan and the policy of its president; at the same time it has opened the country up to massive internal shocks. This poses a risk…
Analyses |
During President Nursultan Nazarbayev’s visit to Kyiv on 14-15 September, agreement was reached concerning the resumption of Kazakh oil transit through Ukrainian territory. The resumption of transit and supplies will have great…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota
Tajikistan is currently witnessing small-scale armed clashes, bomb attacks and signs of political tensions. The continuation of these trends would mean the strengthening of a ‘zone of instability’ linking Afghanistan and Central Asia.
Analyses |
On 2 September, the Prime Minister of Russia Vladimir Putin stated during his meeting with the visiting leader of the Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan, Almazbek Atambayev, that the Russian government will give aid amounting to US$10m…
Analyses |
On 19-20 August, a rally took place in the city of Osh attended by between 1500 and 5000 people in support of the mayor, Melis Myrzakmatov, who has refused obedience to the central government. He turned down an offer from Bishkek to resign…
Analyses |
On the night of 22-23 August, 25 members of an armed Islamic underground group escaped from police custody of the National Security Service in Dushanbe. Signals of a rise in the terrorist threat have been emanating from Tajikistan since at…
Analyses |
On 12 August BP-Azerbaijan, the operator of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, announced that since July of this year a part of the oil flowing through its pipeline originates in Turkmenistan. This means that the BTC route has replaced the…
Analyses |
On 6 August James Giffen, former advisor to President Nursultan Nazarbayev, admitted to tax irregularities and the American prosecutor announced the withdrawal of corruption charges which had been levelled at him since 2003. The final…
Analyses |
| Aleksandra Jarosiewicz
It must be expected that together with the improvement in the economic situation, Kazakhstan’s government will intensify its policy of state protectionism towards the energy sector. Despite this, Kazakhstan is not threatened by any outflow…
OSW Commentary |
| Wojciech Górecki
Russia was the first state in the world to de facto recognise the regime change in Kyrgyzstan that took place on 7 April 2010. This recognition, along with a previous campaign by the Russian media against the then President Kurmanbek…