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Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
On 7 December, Ukrainian military intelligence (HUR) announced that Russia is strengthening its support for the armed forces of the so-called separatists. In the 1st and 2nd Army Corps (based in Donetsk and Luhansk respectively), training…
OSW Commentary |
| Marek Menkiszak
Recent weeks have brought further displays of Russia’s escalating aggressive rhetoric and actions towards Ukraine, including troop movements near its border, as well as use of energy as leverage. This raises questions about Moscow’s…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
Since the beginning of the rise in tension on the Polish-Belarusian border and the escalation of the migration crisis, Moscow has taken a position that unequivocally justifies the actions taken by Alyaksandr Lukashenka’s regime. On 1…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski
On 4 November 2021, a meeting of the Supreme State Council of the Union State of Russia and Belarus, attended by the two countries’ presidents, prime ministers and speakers of parliaments, was held in the form of a video conference. During…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
The presidents of Russia and Belarus, Vladimir Putin and Alyaksandr Lukashenka met for the fifth time this year in Moscow on 9 September. They discussed the implementation of the schedule for the integration of Belarus and Russia as part…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
On 22 April, the so-called active phase of the combat readiness test of the Southern and Western Military Districts (MDs) being held at military training grounds in Crimea and the surrounding waters reached its final stage. A total of 10,…
Analyses |
| Marek Menkiszak, Andrzej Wilk
Since the end of March, the government in Kyiv has been warning that Russia is transferring additional armed forces to the Ukrainian border, which, as it says, may mean Russia is making preparations for a new phase of military operations.…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
During the last days of March, representatives of Ukraine’s government (including President Zelensky) and army announced that Russia was preparing a wide-ranging armed provocation against Ukraine. According to the Commander-in-Chief of the…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
The escalating political crisis in Belarus, the dramatically falling public support for Alyaksandr Lukashenka, and the suppression of the mass protests have made the Kremlin modify its current policy towards Minsk. The relatively good…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Nieczypor, Piotr Żochowski
Over the last three months the military situation in Donbas has deteriorated. Since the beginning of the year 20 Ukrainian soldiers have died in military operations in the east of Ukraine, and this marks a significant increase compared to…