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Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Kazakhstan elections without an alternative

On 20 November, the incumbent head of state Kassym-Jomart Tokayev won early presidential elections in Kazakhstan. According to official data, he won 81.3% of the vote, defeating five other candidates, persons who were largely unknown to…
OSW Commentary | | Miłosz Szymański, Krzysztof Strachota

Erosion of the post-Soviet system in Central Asia

In 2022, post-Soviet Central Asia experienced a number of fundamental challenges that undermine and redefine the systemic foundations of order and stability that have been in place in the region over the past decades. Some of these…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota

Fighting on the Kyrgyz-Tajik border

Since 14 September, there have been fierce clashes between Kyrgyz and Tajik forces along almost the entire length of the border (excluding its eastern and high mountainous section). So far, a total of around 100 people are said to have…
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Górecki

Tokayevs Perestroika Kazakhstan in the face of internal and external challenges

On 5 June Kazakhstan held a constitutional referendum. Almost 80% of the voters (on a turnout of 68%) supported the adoption of a package of amendments that covered more than a third of the articles of the Basic Law (a total of 56…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Turkmenistan The beginning of the Berdimuhamedow dynasty

Early presidential elections were held in Turkmenistan on 12 March. Serdar Berdimuhamedow, the deputy prime minister and the son of the outgoing head of state, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow, was the victor, obtaining around 73% of the vote…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Kazakhstan work starts on dismantling the Nazarbayev system

On 19 January, the state of emergency introduced in Kazakhstan two weeks earlier in connection with the mass riots (at first in the west of the country and then also in other centres, especially in the former capital of Almaty) expired (…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota

Kazakhstan the CSTO intervenes the protests pacified

On the night of 5/6 January, at the peak of the social protests taking pace throughout Kazakhstan, the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO) decided to carry out a so-called anti-terrorist operation at the request of the local…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota

Protests escalating in Kazakhstan

Socio-political protests are rapidly spreading and escalating in Kazakhstan. The first demonstrations began on 2 January in Zhanaozen, in the west of the country, against the backdrop of a near-doubling of LPG prices compared to 2021. The…