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OSW Commentary |
| Iwona Wiśniewska
Preliminary estimates by Rosstat indicate that in Q1 2023 Russia’s GDP decreased by 1.9% y/y, although earlier in its report the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) estimated the decrease at 2.3%.
Analyses |
| Wojciech Górecki
On 19 May air links between Georgia and Russia resumed after a four-year break. This was met with criticism from the West and public protests in Georgia. The resumption of direct air communication is another step normalising relations…
Analyses |
| Marta Szpala
In recent weeks, Serbia has seen some of the largest public demonstrations, drawing tens of thousands of people, since the country’s democratic transition in 2000. Protests under the slogan ‘Serbia against violence’ broke out on 8 May in…
OSW Commentary |
| Agata Łoskot-Strachota
The European Union survived last winter in a surprisingly effective way. Despite the ongoing gas crisis and Russia’s energy war with the West, there were neither painful shortages of gas or the need to ration it. This was the result of an…
Analyses |
| Kamil Całus
On 22 May, the Court of Appeal in Comrat, the capital of the Gagauz Autonomy (GA) that forms part of Moldova, recognised the victory of Evghenia Guțul in the election for the GA’s başkan (head). Guțul represents the populist, pro-Russian…
Analyses |
| Iwona Wiśniewska
Analysing Russia’s current economic situation is becoming increasingly difficult. Since the beginning of its invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin has restricted access to statistical data, including those concerning foreign trade. On 26 April…
Analyses |
| Ilona Gizińska
According to press reports, the Hungarian government is blocking the payment to EU member states of the next tranche (€500 million) of funding from the European Peace Facility (EPF), which reimburses the military support provided to Kyiv…
Analyses |
| Michał Bogusz, Marcin Popławski
On 17–19 May, the city of Xi’an in China hosted the second summit of the leaders of five Central Asian countries, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan, and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) (the first of…
Analyses |
| Jakub Ber, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński
On 20 May, Yevgeny Prigozhin announced that the Wagner Group he owns had seized all of Bakhmut, and said his mercenaries would hand over their positions to regular Russian army troops by 25 May. The Russian defence ministry confirmed the…
Analyses |
| Jakub Ber, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński
Ukrainian troops are continuing offensive operations west of Bakhmut. The fighting is mainly focused on the hills between Ivanivske and Klishchiivka; the Russians are slowly being pushed back toward the latter village, which they captured…