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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Announcements of new Western military support for Ukraine Day 1098 of the war

OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

Despite advances by Russian forces, the third year of full-scale war has not seen a fundamental shift in the military situation. However, it has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Belarus the presidential election is a farce

According to incomplete data from the Central Election Commission (CEC), Alyaksandr Lukashenka secured nearly 87% of the votes in the so-called presidential election on 26 January, while support for the ‘rival candidates’ – Hanna…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Belarus severe sentence imposed on Catholic priest

On 30 December 2024, a court in Minsk sentenced Father Henryk Okolotowicz to 11 years in a high-security penal colony. The trial was held behind closed doors; information about the verdict reached the media through unofficial channels. At…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski

Security above all A revised Belarus–Russia alliance

On 6 December, to commemorate the 25th anniversary of the Treaty on the Establishment of the Union State of Russia and Belarus (Union State), the leaders of the two nations signed a package of ten agreements in Minsk. These included a pact…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński

Tough business in tough times Belarusian exports of potash fertilisers

The extraction of potash salts and their processing into fertilisers have long been hallmarks of Belarusian industrial success. The state-owned company Belaruskali accounted for up to 20% of the global market, relying entirely on domestic…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Progressive flanking of Kurakhove Day 985 of the war

Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński

Lithuania accuses the Lukashenka regime of crimes against humanity

On 30 September, officials from the Lithuanian Ministry of Justice submitted a request to the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague on behalf of the Republic of Lithuania to initiate an investigation into the situation in Belarus…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

The shadow of recent glory the Belarusian IT sector after 2022

The rapid growth of the IT sector in Belarus – an ‘island of modernity’ within an outdated economic model, partly based on Soviet-era management and planning standards – had been a success story for nearly two decades since 2005.
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński

The end of prosperity The state of Belarusian refineries

The sanctions imposed by the West after 2020, along with the involvement of Alyaksandr Lukashenka’s regime in the invasion of Ukraine, have severely impacted Belarus’spetrochemical sector. The EU’s embargo on the import of petroleum…