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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
The Russians have been continuing their attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure at the rear of the frontline. On 30 September, kamikaze drones struck Kalinivka in Vinnytsia oblast (where an ammunition depot was probably destroyed) and the port…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
The situation in the combat areas remains relatively stable, and the attempts both sides have made to break through their opponents’ defences in recent days have been unsuccessful. The area around Avdiivka and Marinka in Donetsk oblast and…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
In the early afternoon of 22 September, the Ukrainians launched another attack on Crimea using Storm Shadow/SCALP cruise missiles (launched from Su-24M bombers). Two missiles hit the Black Sea Fleet (BSF) headquarters building, destroying…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 21 September, the Russians launched their largest missile attack in many months; it also represented the first massive strike targeting Ukraine’s energy infrastructure in six months. According to Ukrenerho, facilities in the central and…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
Russian missiles attacked industrial facilities in Kharkiv for three consecutive days starting on 16 September. Their main target was the Kharkovskiy Bronetankovy Zavod (KhBTZ), which repairs heavy armaments and military equipment. The…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 13 September, Ukrainian forces carried out a combined attack on Russian naval facilities in Sevastopol and the missile corvette Vasily Bykov which operates in the Black Sea; the Ukrainians used surface kamikaze drones and Storm Shadow…
OSW Commentary | | Bartosz Chmielewski, Jacek Tarociński
The migratory pressure on the Polish, Lithuanian and Latvian borders with Belarus which has been ongoing since mid-2021, as well as Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, have spurred the Baltic states and Finland to ramp up their…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik
In late August, Gazprom published its financial report for the first half of this year. It gave the company’s net income as 296.2 billion roubles ($3.1 billion), an exceptionally low figure compared to the previous decade (excluding 2020,…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
Over the past few days, Ukrainian forces have stepped up their offensive operations south-east of Velyka Novosilka in Donetsk oblast, and have achieved minor success in the vicinity of Novomayorske. South-west of Bakhmut, they succeeded in…
Analyses | | Jakub Ber, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński
During the period of 5–8 September there was no significant change in the position of the warring parties. Armed clashes are still mainly focused on the vicinity of the villages of Novoprokopivka and Verbove in the Zaporizhzhia oblast,…