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Analyses |
| Miłosz Bartosiewicz
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov travelled to Africa, visiting Kenya, Burundi and Mozambique between 29 May and 2 June. The last country on his itinerary was South Africa, where he participated in a meeting of the foreign ministers…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 7 June, Ukrainian units struck in the Zaporizhzhia oblast, attempting to break through Russian defences in two or three places (depending on the attack wave) south of Orikhiv; the heaviest fighting is taking place over the town of…
Analyses |
| Filip Rudnik
The OPEC+ summit: an increase in Russian oil exports at the expense of other producers. The OPEC+ summit was held on 4 June in Vienna, where the cartel decided to cut oil production in 2024 to a level of nearly 40.5 million barrels per day…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 25 May, the heads of the Russian and Belarusian defence ministries, Sergei Shoigu and Viktar Khrenin, signed an agreement regulating the stationing of Russian tactical nuclear weapons (TNWs) on the territory of Belarus. This is a…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jakub Ber
On the morning of 6 June, Kyiv reported that Russian troops had blown up the dam at Nova Kakhovka. The road crossing over the River Dnieper and part of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant were destroyed, leading to an uncontrolled…
OSW Commentary |
| Filip Rudnik
The technological sanctions which the West has imposed on Russia’s LNG sector have drastically reduced the opportunities for the industry’s expansion, and made it less likely that Russia can increase its share on the global LNG market.…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
Russian volunteer formations fighting on the side of Ukraine are continuing a psychological sabotage operation to confirm that resistance to the regime is growing in Russia. On 31 May, a spokesman for the Free Russia Legion reported that “…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On the night of 28 May, the Russians launched a massive attack on Kyiv (the largest to date, according to the Ukrainian government’s assessment) using Shahed-136/131 kamikaze drones. According to the Ukrainian General Staff, only one of…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
Ukrainian forces failed to break through the Russian defences north and southwest of Bakhmut, and after 22 May, when the command of the Eastern grouping declared that some slight advances in the field had still been made, they went on the…
OSW Commentary |
| Iwona Wiśniewska
Preliminary estimates by Rosstat indicate that in Q1 2023 Russia’s GDP decreased by 1.9% y/y, although earlier in its report the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) estimated the decrease at 2.3%.