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Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Moldova is increasing the pressure on Transnistria

Oleg Serebrian, the deputy prime minister for the reintegration of Moldova, and Vitaly Ignatiev, the self-proclaimed minister of foreign affairs of Transnistria, met on 16 January. The meeting was aimed at addressing the growing tension…
Analyses | | Michał Bogusz

Maintaining the status quo the elections in Taiwan

On 13 January, the Republic of China (Taiwan) held parliamentary and presidential elections. The incumbent vice-president, Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), won the latter contest with 40.05% of the vote. His two…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

An agreement on security cooperation between the UK and Ukraine Day 691 of the war

Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Towards a totalitarian state Belarus cracks down on religious organisations

On 5 January, an amendment to the legal act ‘On freedom of conscience and religious organisations’ was published in the Belarusian legal register. The government justified this change in the law in terms of “the need to put the legislation…
Analyses | | Jakub Graca

A bleak future for Ukraine aid in Washington

Negotiations are ongoing in Congress concerning US assistance for Ukraine in 2024. They have so far failed to produce an agreement. In the House of Representatives and subsequently in the Senate, Republicans have begun to demand that the…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Deliveries of F-16s to Ukraine delayed Day 684 of the war

Analyses | | Sebastian Płóciennik

Germany is making concessions over the reform of the EUs fiscal rules

Shortly before the Christmas break, EU finance ministers agreed on the general guidelines for the reform of fiscal rules. First of all, more flexibility in reducing debt and the introduction of investment incentives is envisaged. This is a…
Analyses | | Łukasz Kobeszko

Amendments to the Bulgarian constitution a way to overcome the political crisis

On 19 December, the Bulgarian National Assembly adopted a package of changes to the Constitution aimed at finding a permanent solution to the country’s continuing political crisis (where parliamentary elections have been held five times in…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Russian missile terror Day 678 of the war

Between 29 December and 2 January, Russia launched numerous missile strikes on targets across Ukrainian territory. 29 December saw the largest missile and kamikaze drone attack since February 2022 (see Appendix). According to the Ukrainian…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Jakub Ber

Ukrainian generals predict a tough 2024 Day 672 of the war

On 25 December, Russia’s defence minister Sergei Shoigu officially announced the capture of Marinka. The previous day, Russian troops had reached the town’s administrative borders (a built-up area which they have controlled since mid-…