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OSW Commentary | | Justyna Gotkowska

The current state problems and future of Germanys air and missile defence

From German point of view, air and missile defence systems are of little relevance for the protection of Germany’s territory. However, they are seen as important for conducting ‘out of area’ operations, providing military assistance to…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński

An economy with unrealistic indicators an evaluation of the economic situation in Belarus and a forecast for 2013

The macroeconomic results achieved by Belarus in 2012 laid bare the weakness and the inefficiency of its economy. Belarus’s GDP and positive trade balance were growing in the first half of last year. However, this trend was reversed when…
OSW Commentary | | Tadeusz Iwański, Piotr Żochowski

Under the veneer of decentralisation Ukraines modernisation efforts stall due to lack of local government reform

President Viktor Yanukovych and his Party of Regions have been repeating the pledge to decentralise power in Ukraine and to give local government a greater decision-making role ever since the party appeared on the Ukrainian political scene…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Całus

Reforms in Moldova Moderate progress and an uncertain outlook for the future

After coming to power in September 2009, the Alliance for European Integration (AIE)[1] coalition began implementing a wide-ranging programme of reforms, with a view to bringing Moldova closer to the European Union, and ultimately to…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński

No other choice but co-operation The background of Lithuanias and Latvias relations with Belarus

For years now Belarus has been a key economic partner for Lithuania and Latvia. These two Baltic states have well-developed port infrastructure and thus provide what are the geographically closest and also the cheapest exit to…
OSW Commentary | | Szymon Kardaś, Ewa Paszyc

At any price Russia is embarking on the construction of South Stream

Gazprom is determined to continue its efforts to build the South Stream gas pipeline regardless of the slump on the European gas market and the fact that there is sufficient capacity already in the existing transport infrastructure. The…
OSW Commentary | | Tadeusz A Olszański

The electoral success of the Svoboda Party – the consequences for Ukrainian politics

The All-Ukrainian Association ‘Svoboda’ scored an unexpected success in the parliamentary elections, winning support from over 10% of the voters and entering the select group of Ukrainian parliamentary parties which operate at a national…
OSW Commentary | | Arkadiusz Sarna

Ukrainian economy on the verge of recession

In the third quarter of 2012, Ukraine’s economy recorded negative growth (-1.3%) for the first time since its 2009 economic crisis. Q4 GDP is projected to suffer a further decline, bringing Ukraine into formal recession. In addition to the…
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk, Witold Rodkiewicz

Could Transnistria block Moldovas integration with the EU

Moldova’s progress in its negotiations on an Association Agreement with the European Union, with a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) as its key element, has become a source of tension between Chisinau and the breakaway…
OSW Commentary | | Rafał Sadowski

The prospects for the EU-Ukraine free trade agreement

The European Union and Ukraine initialled the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area Agreement (DCFTA) on 19 July 2012. The scope of the agreement which the EU and Ukraine reached following their negotiations is much more extensive than…