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Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Moldova an impending energy crisis and its political implications

Moldova will declare a state of energy emergency on 16 December due to an impending crisis caused by Ukraine’s decision not to extend the transit contract for Russian gas after 2025. Meanwhile, the separatist region of Transnistria heavily…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Całus, Krzysztof Nieczypor

A window with a view of membership Ukraines and Moldovas progress on the path to the EU

On 30 October, the European Commission published its annual enlargement reports containing a detailed assessment of the state of play and the progress made by the countries seeking to join the European Union, including Ukraine and Moldova…
Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Moldova diaspora votes propel Maia Sandu to re-election

On 3 November, Maia Sandu, the de facto leader of the ruling pro-Western Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS), won Moldova’s presidential run-off election. She received 55.4% of the vote, while her opponent Alexandr Stoianoglo, a former…
Analyses | | Kamil Całus

The presidential election and referendum in Moldova a yellow card for the pro-Western camp

On 20 October, Moldova held a presidential election along with a referendum on whether to enshrine the country’s EU integration in its constitution. Maia Sandu, the incumbent president and de facto leader of the ruling pro-Western Party of…
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota, Sławomir Matuszak, Filip Rudnik

Game over The future of Russian gas transit through Ukraine

Ukraine’s seizure of a portion of Russian territory containing strategically important gas infrastructure assets has not resulted in a reduction of Russian gas flow to EU consumers. However, the rising security risks along this route in…
Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Moldova ahead of the elections mobilisation of the pro-Russian opposition

Recent weeks have seen a major revival on the Moldovan political scene. This is linked with the presidential election scheduled for 20 October and the accompanying referendum on Moldova’s accession to the EU. At the end of April, in Moscow…
OSW Commentary | | Zuzanna Krzyżanowska

On the trail of the grey wolf pan-Turkism in Turkeys foreign policy

Ankara’s active policy in the Caucasus and Central Asia is linked among other things with pan-Turkism, an idea which advocates the integration of the Turkic nations. It is continuously present in the political culture of the Turkish state…
Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Moldova opens an investigation against Gagauzias pro-Russian leader

On 24 April, Moldova’s Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office brought an indictment to court against Evghenia Guțul, the başkan (head) of the pro-Russian Gagauz Autonomy, a region in southern Moldova. Guțul has close links with Ilan Șor, a…
Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Ukraine will not extend its gas transit contract with Gazprom – the consequences for Moldova

On 17 March, Ukraine’s energy minister Herman Halushchenko repeated that his country had no plans to extend its existing contract with Gazprom for the transit of Russian gas through Ukrainian territory. The five-year agreement, which was…
Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Moldova is increasing the pressure on Transnistria

Oleg Serebrian, the deputy prime minister for the reintegration of Moldova, and Vitaly Ignatiev, the self-proclaimed minister of foreign affairs of Transnistria, met on 16 January. The meeting was aimed at addressing the growing tension…