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OSW Commentary |
| Wojciech Konończuk
Despite advances by Russian forces, the third year of full-scale war has not seen a fundamental shift in the military situation. However, it has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20…
OSW Commentary |
| Wojciech Konończuk
The second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has not brought any breakthrough, let alone a resolution to the conflict, and all indications are that none of this could have been avoided. After 24 months of facing Russia’s full-scale…
OSW Commentary |
| Wojciech Konończuk
A war that almost nobody expected has been ongoing for a year now. Although reports suggesting that Russia may be preparing for war had emerged at least several months prior to 24 February 2022, there was no consensus among politicians and…
OSW Commentary |
| Szymon Kardaś, Wojciech Konończuk
A five-year contract concerning Russian gas transit via Ukraine was signed after four days of negotiations on 30 December 2019. The previous contract expired on 1 January 2020. The EU-brokered talks between Moscow and Kyiv preceding the…
Analyses |
| Wojciech Konończuk
A working meeting was held on 2 September in Berlin as part of preparations so-called Normandy Format summit (leaders of Ukraine, Russia, Germany and France) for settling the conflict in Donbas. This will be the first such summit since…
Analyses |
| Szymon Kardaś, Wojciech Konończuk
On 19 April, the Belarusian oil company Belneftekhim reported a significant deterioration in the quality of Russian oil transmitted to Belarus via the Druzhba pipeline. The level of organochlorine compounds was dozens of times over the…
Analyses |
| Wojciech Konończuk
On 25 December the presidents of Russia and Belarus met at the Kremlin to resolve some areas of dispute, in particular the further integration of the two countries and the terms for supply of oil. The talks between Vladimir Putin and…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Wilk, Jan Strzelecki, Wojciech Konończuk
Before midnight on 25 November, President Petro Poroshenko issued a decree at the request of the National Security and Defence Council of Ukraine to introduce martial law for a period of 60 days, while announcing that a general…
Analyses |
| Tadeusz Iwański, Jan Strzelecki, Wojciech Konończuk
At the BRICS summit in China Vladimir Putin announced that Russia would propose a draft resolution on the deployment of UN peacekeeping forces in Donbas.
Analyses |
| Wojciech Górecki, Wojciech Konończuk
We may assume that the uptick in the dynamics of the talks is due to new Russian proposals, hitherto undiscussed in public.