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Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Piotr Żochowski
The Lithuanian State Border Guard (VSAT) has recorded a significant increase in the number of undocumented migrants arriving from Belarus. 387 people have tried to reach Lithuania from Belarus over the last five months. Most of them are…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski, Tadeusz Iwański
Alexander Lukashenka's suggestions about the possibility of recognising the annexation of Crimea and the self-proclaimed republics in Donbass following the arrest of Raman Pratasevič were met with a sharp reaction in Ukraine. Earlier,…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 23 May, the Belarusian government forced a Ryanair plane flying from Athens to Vilnius to land in Minsk, escorted by a MiG-29 fighter, under the pretence that there was a bomb on board. The local security authorities then arrested two…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski
In recent weeks, the Belarusian regime has taken legislative steps to create a legal framework for the further escalation of repression against opponents. On May 14, Alexander Lukashenka signed a law on preventing the rehabilitation of…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 9 May Alyaksandr Lukashenka signed a decree on the ‘defence of sovereignty and the constitutional system’ which lays out the principles of the transfer of presidential competences in case of the president’s death following an…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński
The Polish national minority school system in Belarus was created from scratch in the 1990s with financial support from Warsaw and an organisational effort of the Polish minority in Belarus. Although in its first years it developed…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
The escalating political crisis in Belarus, the dramatically falling public support for Alyaksandr Lukashenka, and the suppression of the mass protests have made the Kremlin modify its current policy towards Minsk. The relatively good…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński
This year Freedom Day, which the opposition commemorates on 25 March (the anniversary of the proclamation of the Belarusian People’s Republic in 1918) and which is not recognised by the Belarusian regime, was feted without a single large…
OSW Report | | Andrzej Wilk
In the 2010s, Minsk lost the remnants of its independent defence capabilities and completely ceded the initiative to Moscow in this regard, remaining content with the appearance of sovereignty. The process of Belarusian-Russian military…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Szymon Kardaś
On 19 February, Belarus and Russia signed an agreement to redirect exports of some Belarusian petroleum products from ports in the Baltic states to Russian ones. The three-year agreement covers the total handling of up to 9.8 million…