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Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
The escalating political crisis in Belarus, the dramatically falling public support for Alyaksandr Lukashenka, and the suppression of the mass protests have made the Kremlin modify its current policy towards Minsk. The relatively good…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
This year Freedom Day, which the opposition commemorates on 25 March (the anniversary of the proclamation of the Belarusian People’s Republic in 1918) and which is not recognised by the Belarusian regime, was feted without a single large…
Analyses |
| Mateusz Seroka
On 18 March Bulgaria’s counterintelligence arrested a group of six Bulgarians suspected of spying for Russia. According to the Prosecutor’s Office, five out of the six arrested are former or active servicemen, including officers of the…
Analyses |
| Witold Rodkiewicz
On 9–11 March, the Russian Federation’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sergei Lavrov, paid working visits to three Arab monarchies: the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. During his stay in the latter country, he took part in a…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Nieczypor, Piotr Żochowski
Over the last three months the military situation in Donbas has deteriorated. Since the beginning of the year 20 Ukrainian soldiers have died in military operations in the east of Ukraine, and this marks a significant increase compared to…
Analyses |
| Michał Bogusz
On 11 March, the Chinese parliament (National People's Congress, NPC) introduced major changes to the electoral system of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR). These concern the Chief Executive election process—that is the…
Analyses |
| Witold Rodkiewicz
On 17 March, the US television channel ABC broadcast excerpts from an interview with President Joe Biden, in which inter alia he answered in the affirmative to a question from the host, a well-known American journalist, of whether he…
Analyses |
| Piotr Szymański
On March 5, Estonia updated its long-term National Defence Development Plan for 2017–2026. It has been divided into shorter four-year planning cycles, including a new medium-term one for 2022–2025. After a period of directing most of the…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
On 23 March, Israel will hold its fourth early parliamentary elections in two years (the previous ones took place on 9 April 2019, 17 September 2019 and 2 March 2020). Polls show that 11-12 groups may join the 120-person Knesset (there are…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński, Szymon Kardaś
On 19 February, Belarus and Russia signed an agreement to redirect exports of some Belarusian petroleum products from ports in the Baltic states to Russian ones. The three-year agreement covers the total handling of up to 9.8 million…