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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Russians and North Koreans pushing Ukrainians out of Kursk Oblast Day 1028 of the war

Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Georgia presidential election amidst intense protests

On 14 December, the electoral college elected Mikheil Kavelashvili as the new President of Georgia (see Appendix). Kavelashvili is one of the leaders of the nationalist-conservative party People’s Power, an organisation closely associated…
Analyses | | Paulina Wankiewicz

Croatia sets conditions for Montenegros accession to the EU

According to reports from the Montenegrin daily Vijesti, Croatian authorities have presented the Montenegrin government with a document containing a 10-point list of issues that must be resolved before Montenegro can join the European…
Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Moldova an impending energy crisis and its political implications

Moldova will declare a state of energy emergency on 16 December due to an impending crisis caused by Ukraine’s decision not to extend the transit contract for Russian gas after 2025. Meanwhile, the separatist region of Transnistria heavily…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

Centre-left government forms government in Lithuania

On 12 December, Lithuania’s unicameral parliament (Seimas) swore in a new government led by Gintautas Paluckas, vice-chair of the Social Democratic Party (LSDP). The coalition also includes the Union of Democrats “For Lithuania” (DSVL),…
Analyses | | Łukasz Kobeszko

Bulgaria and Romania join the Schengen Area no more second-class membership

On 12 December, the EU Council decided to fully integrate Bulgaria and Romania into the Schengen Area as of 1 January 2025. This was made possible by a shift in Austria’s position, which had been the final EU member state to oppose their…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Russia moves to cut off Ukrainian logistics in the Donbas Day 1021 of the war

Analyses | | Adam Michalski

Turkeys reaction to the fall of al-Assad opportunities and challenges

On 8 December, following the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan expressed full support for Syrian rebel groups and called for their unification, urging the international community to support…
Analyses | | Witold Rodkiewicz, Katarzyna Chawryło

The fall of Assads regime in Syria implications for Russia

The overthrow of Bashar Assad has significantly diminished Russia’s influence in the Middle East and dealt a blow to its image. Alongside Iran, Russia was the principal sponsor of the Alawite regime in Syria, which depended heavily on…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski

Security above all A revised Belarus–Russia alliance

On 6 December, to commemorate the 25th anniversary of the Treaty on the Establishment of the Union State of Russia and Belarus (Union State), the leaders of the two nations signed a package of ten agreements in Minsk. These included a pact…