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Analyses |
| Marek Menkiszak
On 11 July, in line with previous announcements and annual practice, Gazprom stopped gas deliveries to European customers via the Nord Stream 1 (NS1) pipeline, which runs from Russia to Germany along the Baltic Sea bed.
Analyses |
| Joanna Hyndle-Hussein
On 13 July the European Commission (EC) presented new guidance on the transit of goods through EU territory to and from the Kaliningrad oblast. They oblige EC countries to resume the transit of sanctioned goods to this Russian exclave.…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jadwiga Rogoża
Russian forces continue to advance southwest of Lysychansk (in the Vovchoyarivka–Verkhn’okam’yanka area), while they have been halted on the western side of the ‘road of life’ (near the village of Spirne). Fighting is ongoing on the…
OSW Commentary |
| Piotr Żochowski, Krzysztof Nieczypor
Russia was forced to modify its plan after its military operation in Ukraine failed. The original intention was the rapid political subjugation of Ukraine. The new plan involves Russia consolidating its position in the territories that it…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Krzysztof Nieczypor
During the night, Ukrainian forces began withdrawing from Sievierodonetsk and crossed the Donets River under fire to Lysychansk (the bridges connecting the two cities were destroyed, and there is no possibility of retreat in the other…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Sławomir Matuszak
Fighting continues for the Azot plant, the last point of Ukrainian resistance in Sievierodonetsk. The defenders are repelling Russian attacks on the southern outskirts of the city (Syrotyne), on both sides of the road connecting Hirske…
Analyses |
| Szymon Kardaś
In May, the Russian Ministry of Economic Development published a new, updated forecast for the production and export of Russian energy resources. It shows that LNG supplies to third countries will be much lower than previously assumed over…
Analyses |
| Iwona Wiśniewska
The Russian Grain Union (RGU) reported that, from the start of the current agricultural season (1 July 2021) to mid-May, Russia exported 33.85 million tonnes of wheat, which is about 10.4% less than a year ago. Overall, Russian grain…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jadwiga Rogoża
The Ukrainian side provides conflicting information on the situation in Sievierodonetsk. According to official data, a counter-attack was launched over the weekend, as a result of which Russian forces were pushed out of some areas and…
OSW Commentary |
| Marek Menkiszak
Although 100 days have passed since the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Moscow has not achieved even the hypothetical minimum objective of the operation: the capture of the entire Donbas. The fierce Ukrainian resistance and…