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OSW Commentary | | Maciej Kalwasiński

Disappointing post-COVID-19 recovery China on the path of a protracted slowdown

China’s economy started the year with a clear upturn after the ‘zero COVID’ strategy was lifted, but the macroeconomic data published in recent weeks has clearly fallen short of expectations. The situation has caused disquiet in Beijing…
OSW Commentary | | OSWs Russian Department

Prigozhins mutiny as a stress test for the Putin system events conclusions outlook

Yevgeny Prigozhin’s mutiny came as a shock to the Russian elite. Moreover, the ease with which the Wagner troops seized Rostov-on-Don and started to head towards Moscow without encountering any major resistance provoked panic. Some…
OSW Report | | Maria Domańska

The new wave of Russian political emigration to Germany. Organisations, activities, prospects

At present, Russia is experiencing the biggest wave of politically-motivated emigration in its modern history. Thousands of individuals (including oppositionists, activists, human rights defenders and independent journalists) were forced…
OSW Commentary | | Ilona Gizińska, Andrzej Sadecki

Russias nuclear project in Hungary Frances growing role

Despite the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Hungarian government has declared it is fully determined to build the Paks II Nuclear Power Plant, the main contractor of which is Russia’s Rosatom. Several important decisions have been taken…
OSW Commentary | | Lidia Gibadło, Justyna Gotkowska

Germanys first national security strategy the minimal consensus

On 14 June 2023, the German government adopted the country’s first ever national security strategy entitled ‘Integrated Security for Germany’. The strategy is guided by an ambitious comprehensive approach which emphasises the need to boost…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Frymark

Too green too fast too dear The AfD is gaining popularity in Germany

The popularity of the Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, AfD) is growing, as confirmed by its second place in the latest opinion polls, putting it on a par with Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s SDP, and that is raising great…
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak

Ukrainian oligarchs and their businesses their fading importance

The longer Russia’s full-scale aggression against Ukraine continues, the weaker the oligarchs’ influence on the country’s political and economic life becomes. They have failed to regain control over media coverage and have little to no…
OSW Commentary | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Wilk

Arms deliveries to Ukraine crossing the red lines

The scale of the military support that the West has been providing to Ukraine is unprecedented. Both the type of supplies of arms & military equipment and the needs of Ukrainian Armed Forces have been evolving during the course of the…
OSW Commentary | | Filip Rudnik

Unfulfilled ambitions Russias LNG sector in the grip of sanctions

The technological sanctions which the West has imposed on Russia’s LNG sector have drastically reduced the opportunities for the industry’s expansion, and made it less likely that Russia can increase its share on the global LNG market.…
OSW Commentary | | Iwona Wiśniewska

Russia funding the war eases the consequences of sanctions

Preliminary estimates by Rosstat indicate that in Q1 2023 Russia’s GDP decreased by 1.9% y/y, although earlier in its report the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) estimated the decrease at 2.3%.