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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Announcements of new Western military support for Ukraine Day 1098 of the war

OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

Despite advances by Russian forces, the third year of full-scale war has not seen a fundamental shift in the military situation. However, it has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20…
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

The crisis over Greenland Denmarks response to Trump

On 28 January, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen met with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Berlin, French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris, and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in Brussels. Her diplomatic tour was preceded by…
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański, Jacek Tarociński

Sweden reinventing total defence and a proactive stance in NATO

On 17 December, the Swedish parliament adopted the country’s defence resolution for 2025–2030. This is the first document to outline the primary directions for military cooperation and the development of Sweden’s defence capabilities in…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

Centre-left government forms government in Lithuania

On 12 December, Lithuania’s unicameral parliament (Seimas) swore in a new government led by Gintautas Paluckas, vice-chair of the Social Democratic Party (LSDP). The coalition also includes the Union of Democrats “For Lithuania” (DSVL),…
OSW Commentary | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

Lithuania is losing people without a fight

Lithuania ranks among the world’s top ten fastest-depopulating countries.[1] Throughout over three decades of independence, its population has dramatically decreased by over 800,000 people. The current population stands at just 2.8 million…
OSW Commentary | | Robert Pszczel

Europes security without America an imperative of the moment or a dangerous idea

For many years, a variety of concepts linked with the so-called European security and defence identity had appeared, vanished and re-emerged in the public space. Numerous terms and ideas related to this concept have been enjoying life of…
OSW Report | | Marek Menkiszak

Winning the war with Russia is still possible. The West’s counter-strategy towards Moscow

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine aims to subjugate or destroy Ukraine, overturn the current political and security order in Europe, and fundamentally revise the global order. The conflict is systemic in nature and will continue as…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

A change of government in Lithuania the Social Democrats assume power from the centre-right

On 27 October, in the second round of the Lithuanian parliamentary election, the opposition Social Democratic party (LSDP), led by Vilija Blinkevičiūtė, emerged victorious. The election was held in 63 single-member districts, with two…
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński

NATO brigades in the Baltic states new chapters in the long march toward deployment

On 17 October, the defence ministers of Estonia and the United Kingdom signed a bilateral defence roadmap, outlining steps to further enhance the British military presence in Estonia. From July 2025, the UK will maintain a light brigade on…