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OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak, Piotr Żochowski

The Gordian knot of mobilisation Ukraine balancing the needs of the military and business

The increasing number of men who have been granted deferment from military service in recent months and the problems in the implementation of mobilisation plans have urged the Ukrainian authorities to carry out an audit of companies deemed…
OSW Report | | Jakub Ber, Tadeusz Iwański, Marcin Jędrysiak, Sławomir Matuszak, Krzysztof Nieczypor, Piotr Żochowski

Defence and determination. Ukraine during the third year of the Russian invasion

The full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine has continued for over 30 months, without a clear outcome in si
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota, Sławomir Matuszak, Filip Rudnik

Game over The future of Russian gas transit through Ukraine

Ukraine’s seizure of a portion of Russian territory containing strategically important gas infrastructure assets has not resulted in a reduction of Russian gas flow to EU consumers. However, the rising security risks along this route in…
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak

An increasingly important partner Polands exports to and investment in Ukraine

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused a surge in Polish-Ukrainian trade, mainly due to an increase in Polish exports which grew by more than 80% between 2021 and 2023. Poland’s imports have remained at pre-war levels, with the…
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak, Konrad Popławski

Running on European tracks Modernising the rail network in western Ukraine during wartime

The Ukrainian government has used the ongoing war as an opportunity to carry out a rapid transformation of the railway infrastructure in the western part of the country. This process is expected to both increase the capacity of the railway…
OSW Report | | Sławomir Matuszak, Tadeusz Iwański, Konrad Popławski, Andrzej Wilk

The second front. Ukraine’s economic condition and forecasts after a year and a half of war

MAIN POINTS I. THE MACROECONOMIC SITUATION 1. GDP 2. Industrial production 3. Inflation
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak

Ukrainian oligarchs and their businesses their fading importance

The longer Russia’s full-scale aggression against Ukraine continues, the weaker the oligarchs’ influence on the country’s political and economic life becomes. They have failed to regain control over media coverage and have little to no…
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak

A year of war in Ukraines foreign trade

The Russian invasion has led to a collapse in Ukraine’s trade, in particular foreign trade. It has also caused major changes in the geographical structure of its imports and exports. Due to the Russian blockade, Ukrainian ports have lost…
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak

On the verge of blackout Ukraine facing attacks on its electricity generation system

Ukraine’s power plants and electricity grid have been subjected to regular, massive shelling campaigns using ballistic missiles and kamikaze drones for the past three months. Although they have not so far brought about a permanent…
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak

A struggle to survive Ukraines economy in wartime

The ongoing war in Ukraine has had a disastrous impact on the country’s economy. Its GDP has fallen by approximately a third, and material losses due to the destruction of infrastructure have exceeded US$100 billion and are rising every…